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[COVID-19] Corona Virus [Your local reports]
RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
The big factor we don't know is how many people have the virus and have not (and will not) be tested. In most cases testing is allocated only to people with active symptoms. Of those who do test positive only a small percentage require hospital admission, so it's reasonable to assume there is a large pool of infected people who don't actually get (very) sick and never present for testing. We can't know how big this pool is, but it's probably big enough to bring the real mortality rate down considerably.

The problem in Australia now will be complacency - people are thinking that we've got this beaten and will soon return to normal. However the WA state Premier Mark McGowan said the other day that current restrictions are likely to be in place at least six months and possibly longer. I have been pleasantly (if that's the right word) surprised at the way our leaders are tackling the crisis - putting their egos aside and participating in the national cabinet. One can only hope this continues into the future.

Here's a current snapshot of the situation i Australia: https://www.health.gov.au/sites/default/...phic_6.pdf
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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
New cases continue flat along the peak rate today.  People don't like my log chart, so I'll give you a linear bar chart of new cases at 1676 today and 21,655 total confirmed statewide since the beginning of this.  No significant downward trend yet, but a change of direction from were we were last week.  Deaths are increasing, but for PA, our total deaths are at 494 with 74 new today. 

Deepbreathing is correct that without much wider testing or antibody testing, we really can't know the real total infection rate or potential immunity rate.

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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
(04-11-2020, 11:55 AM)Sleeprider Wrote: People don't like my log chart, so I'll give you a linear bar chart of new cases at 1676 today and 21,655 total confirmed statewide since the beginning of this.


I guess I'm "people"... Too-funny  I know I need to lose weight, but referring to me in the plural hurts... Crying-into-tissue

... okay, couldn't resist.. just kidding.   Bigwink    Too-funny


I'm glad you're using a linear chart, and a 2 or 3 day downward move can easily reverse as it has on previous dates, as you stated.    And as you're probably aware, charting the stats for one state only does not necessarily predict what's going to happen in the entire country or the entire world.  Just be careful about drawing any conclusions from local stats and applying that to other areas who haven't had as good of a response early on as Pennsylvania has had.

Just trying to put the "contrarian position" out there for consideration, 'ya know.

Just sayin'...   Eat-popcorn
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INFORMATION ON APNEA BOARD FORUMS OR ON APNEABOARD.COM SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS MEDICAL ADVICE. ALWAYS SEEK THE ADVICE OF A PHYSICIAN BEFORE SEEKING TREATMENT FOR MEDICAL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SLEEP APNEA. INFORMATION POSTED ON THE APNEA BOARD WEB SITE AND FORUMS ARE PERSONAL OPINION ONLY AND NOT NECESSARILY A STATEMENT OF FACT.




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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
Eat-popcorn
Dave

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INFORMATION ON APNEA BOARD FORUMS OR ON APNEABOARD.COM SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED MEDICAL ADVICE. ALWAYS SEEK THE ADVICE OF A PHYSICIAN BEFORE SEEKING TREATMENT FOR MEDICAL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SLEEP APNEA. INFORMATION POSTED ON THE APNEA BOARD WEBSITE AND FORUMS ARE PERSONAL OPINION ONLY AND NOT NECESSARILY A STATEMENT OF FACT.
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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
Supersleeper, I don't know how much of a contrarian you are, but when the stock market tanked I was buying. I know that curve can change too, but I was glad to be on the right side of curve and not miss the biggest gain in 50 years. Of course I also became acquainted with the down-side of that one too, but we're down to about a 14% loss from the market high. You can consider me a risk taker, and it pays to be ahead of the curve. I'm also, not beyond using statistics to make the best argument available, and got paid well to do that over the years. I am fully aware of the limitations of what I have posted and have not extrapolated our results elsewhere, nor assumed what happens elsewhere applies here. This is simply my "local report" as the thread implies.

Sarcastic Dave is eating your popcorn.
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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
That's okay... Dave is welcome to share in both my popcorn & coffee stash.   I bought my stash long before the crash.  Now that we're going to have massive inflation with "QE to infinity", the Federal Reserve basically merging with the Treasury Dept, the Fed becoming the buyer of last resort for the bond markets, and the Plunge Protection Team active in the equities market every afternoon, I feel as though I bought during the low of the popcorn & coffee curve.  Won't have to buy at the high, thank goodness.

Eat-popcorn Coffee Eat-popcorn Coffee Eat-popcorn Coffee
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INFORMATION ON APNEA BOARD FORUMS OR ON APNEABOARD.COM SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS MEDICAL ADVICE. ALWAYS SEEK THE ADVICE OF A PHYSICIAN BEFORE SEEKING TREATMENT FOR MEDICAL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SLEEP APNEA. INFORMATION POSTED ON THE APNEA BOARD WEB SITE AND FORUMS ARE PERSONAL OPINION ONLY AND NOT NECESSARILY A STATEMENT OF FACT.




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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
Lolabove

I still get my coffee at Costco. I wonder if Juan Valdez wore gloves and a mask?
Sleeprider
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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
I'd guess not. He probably didn't get the text about COVID-19 news there in the mountains.

thanks for Coffee and Eat-popcorn
Dave

OSCAR
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INFORMATION ON APNEA BOARD FORUMS OR ON APNEABOARD.COM SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED MEDICAL ADVICE. ALWAYS SEEK THE ADVICE OF A PHYSICIAN BEFORE SEEKING TREATMENT FOR MEDICAL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SLEEP APNEA. INFORMATION POSTED ON THE APNEA BOARD WEBSITE AND FORUMS ARE PERSONAL OPINION ONLY AND NOT NECESSARILY A STATEMENT OF FACT.
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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
Reported new cases today were very low but I suspect a lot of that is due to testing facilities and pathologists having a break for Easter.

Premier Mark McGowan reiterated today that we are facing at least six months restrictions here in WA. Complacency is the big danger at this time.

Snapshot of the Covid-19 situation in Australia 12-4-2020. https://www.health.gov.au/sites/default/...phic_8.pdf
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RE: Corona Virus [Your local reports]
New cases were sharply lower today at 4.9% which is still 1178 cases statewide in PA. If this trend continues, even Supersleeper will start to see a slow down.  The UPMC hospitals have ordered their doctors and nurses to prepare to move ahead with scheduling elective surgeries as the losses are in the tens of millions with empty beds and lack of revenue.

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Sleeprider
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www.ApneaBoard.com

____________________________________________
Download OSCAR Software
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Organize your OSCAR Charts
Attaching Files
Mask Primer
How To Deal With Equipment Supplier


INFORMATION ON APNEA BOARD FORUMS OR ON APNEABOARD.COM SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS MEDICAL ADVICE. ALWAYS SEEK THE ADVICE OF A PHYSICIAN BEFORE SEEKING TREATMENT FOR MEDICAL CONDITIONS, INCLUDING SLEEP APNEA. INFORMATION POSTED ON THE APNEA BOARD WEB SITE AND FORUMS ARE PERSONAL OPINION ONLY AND NOT NECESSARILY A STATEMENT OF FACT.
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